BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024
The yield curve is incrementally flatter. We expect that to continue for the short term. It has been catching a lot of investors off guard. I think it is there for a long haul. At this point in the overall fed cycle, we would anticipate that the curve should steepen somewhat. Youre seeing late market cycle behavior. Part of that behavior is a flatter yield curve. If the fed is on hold and lets be economy run hot, that will keep the short ends, which everyone expects. A market priced for recession, but it is telling you there are no risks whatsoever. That is not really a tenable situation. The ...