BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024
A bit of a mixed bag. Employment growth decelerating. It is consistent with some slowing. The economy is slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. We are slowly pressing on the brake here. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Definitely falling off a cliff. The market is not doing anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed rate cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get i...