How do you predict the future? Ask Samotsvety.
What the Samotsvety group can teach us about predicting the future.
Source: vox.com
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Analyzing the Historical Rate of Catastrophes
To communicate risks, we often turn to stories. Nuclear weapons conjure stories of mutually assured destruction, briefcases with red buttons, and nuclear winter. Climate change conjures stories of extreme weather, cities overtaken by rising sea levels, and crop failures. Pandemics require little imagination after COVID, but were previously the subject
Source: bounded-regret.ghost.io