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So for 2021, I am going to give you my list of  surprises instead. Surprise No. 1: There Will Be No Surprises That’s it. That’s the surprise—there will be no surprises! 2021 will be a boring year. Stocks will go up a boring amount, bonds will drop a boring amount, and there won’t be any crashes or any melt-ups. Maybe volatility will be low and stable. Maybe there will be nothing interesting out of the Fed. Maybe it will just be a profoundly boring year. Of course, we still have to get the vaccine distributed, and there will be some hiccups along the way. We also have a majo...

5 Surprises in 2021 December 24, 2020 Last year, I was encouraged to come up with a list of predictions for 2020. The results of that exercise were hilarious. (Exhibit A: 2020.) This year, I am being encouraged to come up with a list of surprises for 2021. This is actually harder than coming up with a list of predictions, because it forces you to think outside the box. I crowdsourced this on Twitter and got some help. There were some interesting geopolitical ones that people proposed, like regime change in Iran and China taking over Taiwan. Those would definitely make...

Do we have that capability? if we chose to go the hawkish direction, which i think is the alternative to what we're talking about here. >> well that is the alternative many people who don't like the agreement are talking about. and i think a negotiated option is better than a military option. i don't think people want to go to war and what we've heard from some of the experts is that even if we bombed the sites in iran that it would delay the nuclear program only as you pointed out, for a couple of years and that's not an answer to what we want. >> okay. senator jean shaheen of new hampshire. ...

Side of what you're seeing from jeb bush and marco rubio or better from the dubbish side from rand paul? there was the sort of the high point of republican dubbishness was actually president obama went into libya witut congressional authorization, and it was looking like and there was the drone, anti-drone filibuster by rand paul. republicans were starting to sort of push back on the idea of the united states being very aggressive in foreign policy but if you look at the gop field, they're seeing the same polls you're putting up there, that more and more these republicans are moving in a hawki...