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Intensity of support, democrats hold like a 20 on point margin at least. >> yeah, that is a really important piece of this. and that is why we've been doing so well in the special elections. the intensity advantage is exaggerated. and to the point lonnie made, the numbers jump around, what matters is the average over time. i think when this number is really going to matter is in september. but look, this is always a good healthy warning sign to democrats. we cannot take this for granted. we have to win on our own merits, we can't just rely on an unpopular and disheveled presidency. >> all righ...

Even if the polls show there's an even divide between whether people want more regulation whrrbgs they don't, the intensity advantage is on the republican side. if you're an nra member, you're going to vote, go to the polls to support the candidate who supports your value. what the student activists are trying to do is ray that intensity level on the liberal side. it was interesting to watch some student activists who are making their point. they weren't trying to find common ground with republican, they're attacking republicans. they're not trying to win over folks in the middle. they're tryi...

The romney campaign, a similar poll saying gosh, we had the intensity advantage. that's less when everyone's t n turning out, but more of a factor in an off year election. >> it's really important to see where the needle is in terms of party. you know, four years ago, it was plus republican in the state. four points and the presidential election, it was plus seven. when we look at the most probable electorate, it's dead even, so keep an eye on that needle. >> a very important point there. what's interesting is how u both chris christie and bob mcconnell are overperforming. the republican party...