and talk to the candidate aid and abet. what have you learned? i learned he had a few ideas at the start and thinking perhaps a graphical spot and then he concluded his first add closing before iowa. he really wanted to weld the two key issues and pack them into a spot that was maybe dark but packed a punch. that was his opening statement. it was a theme of political
good morning. it is monday, january 4th. welcome to morning joe. happy new year. 2016. willie, did you ring it in nicely? it s going to be a pretty poring year, huh? yeah, nothing going on. we ve been talking in hypotheticals until 2016 and now it s here, ten months until election day. and it is a mad dash. less than a month to iowa. less than a month to iowa. this was actually the time when four years ago, eight years ago, we were all on planes taught io iowa. here we go again. here we have a month. the last two cycles we were leaving iowa knowing who the winner was, on our way to new hampshire. on our way to new hampshire. so how unbelievable. january, you can t there is politically here we go. you can t be hyperbolic.
candidates that are still searching for a closing argument. trump has his and it s where he opened and it s strong. so we have you here, managing editors of bloomberg politics, mark halperin and also eugene robinson joins us. he s always special. there are just four weeks left until the iowa caucuses and donald trump has unveiled his first television ad, a 30-second spot to air in iowa and new hampshire, which we bring you for the first time now. i m donald trump and i approve this message. the politicians can pretend it s something else but donald trump calls it radical islam beiislamic terrorism. that s why he s calling for a temporary ban of muslims coming into the united states until we know what s going on. and he ll build a wall on the
america than the deep south. the yankees that look at ted cruz and say he s a southerner, they doesn t know that those of us in the deep south look at texas as if they re another brand of people. they re not southerners. the deep south that, is trump territory. that s why we keep saying if he wins iowa or even if he wins new hampshire, trump s off to the races. he s not a regional candidate. he has support in other parts of the country but he s very strong in those southern states. he s spent time there, has staff there and eventually i think will advertise there. the only person in the race who can make a plausible argument for beating trump is ted cruz. and he s raised a lot of money and ted s got the grass roots support. willie geist, very interesting. two of trump s strongest states, mississippi and new york state. something like 10 of trump s 10 strongest counties, new york
right. the most resent and apologizing has been updated since. nate sylvia says his chances are somewhere between 0-20% to get the nomination. maybe that s changed since then. are you serious? yes. based on what data? based on the fact there s so many undecided voters in iowa in part and based on the fact you can t rely on polls at this point. he was six months before not going to barack obama as a 98.4372% chance of we aring a blue tie. if you look at trump s numbers and percentage on it on the sense of his stret formula