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other campaigns and not yours. but it's not easing his concern. they are -- jeff brought up a really good point here. they have been leading by 30 points, 28 points. they want the biggest margin possible, but they are tempering expectations, too. they know it's possible that turnout is going to be lower than expected. >> this is also a little different of a trump operation. from 2016 to now they have gotten more targeted, they know their voters more clearly. when i talk to trump supporters, they say that's what's going to happen. they are not as haphazard an operation in 2016 but they know who to send the cars to and the communities with the untapped trump supporters. and trying to get first-time caucus goers to change the elect electorate. today we're looking at the margin to see if trump can live up to that polling but i think this is a campaign operation more well suited to deal with these conditions than the trump campaign in 2016. >> if it works today, if he comes out of iowa with a 20 or 30-point lead, this is the strategy they are going to deploy if he's the nominee in
how does it feel to you? >> it feels a lot colder than 2016, john. and -- >> john: back to the weather again. >> yeah, jeff said in the same interview that, you know, he would expect record turnout for the caucuses except if there's -- if there's below 0 temperatures and ice and that might knock down turnout to merely robust. he's the biggest salesman for the iowa caucuses. i do expect, i mean, this is now -- this was a foot of snow later from his comments and i do think that there will be an impact on turnout. how much remains to be seen, and you know, we are also kind of looking at where people turn out. >> john: yeah, all right. we'll see. apparently the sun is out and the roads are getting clear there. i want to go here to trump vital signs, in our fox news power ranking and what gives trump a good opportunity to make a big
remarkable about this race is how constant it has been in its state of play throughout the caucus. the stability of the race. donald trump's dominance from the get go has remained the story all the way through. when you think about where we are, this first step in the process for republican voters after the last three years since donald trump left office, january 6th and all that followed after that, to have a moment now to weigh in with their votes. to say whether or not donald trump is the person they want to be their standard bearer in a potential rematch against joe biden. tomorrow night is the first time voters get to weigh in on that question and according to the poll that we saw from the des moines register, they're going to potentially say so rather robustly in iowa. yes is the answer to that. they want to be his standard bearer. the other thing i would note here is that while we look at that race for second place, manu, and jeff encapsulated sort of the different strategies from the haley and desaesantis
was acting on behalf of my capacity as a senior adviser to the vice president. when donald trump's lawyers are arguing is that when he picked up the phone, and called the secretary of state, in georgia, and, said i'm jeff i'm 11,000 more votes, that he was acting as the president that states of america. and that's, like not true? he was very concerned about fraud in the elections, as the president, it's part of his job. but what he did is, he tried to raise everything up to this 30,000 foot elevation. like all of these were just my right, as a president, to communicate with state legislators, and state secretaries of state, communicate with my department of justice about opening investigations into election fraud. communicate with my vice president about what he could do on january 6th. so these are all official acts, according, again. he, according to them. but, again, that argument might have some weight in a civil case, and that is where the
they called those numbers on the edge of jaw dropping and not in a good way. but this year's extreme weather could have an unpredictable impact on turnout and already did some damage to the candidates' plans for their final weekend on the trail. jeff is in des moines indoors. very happy to be indoors i'm sure. how worry are a campaigns at the moment about turnout with the weather you're enduring? >> hey, manu. good morning. it is the central concern. first and foremost, it is outside of their control. for all of the planning,precise strategy, this is not in their hands and it is going to dramatically impact who turns out to the iowa caucuses tomorrow. this morning, desantis is canceling an event in sioux city. haley in debeaut.
>> so there's no question that trump supporters are the most committed so they are perhaps the most likely to turn out. but some of them have to drive the farthest as well. supporters in rural areas. nikki haley is looking for the suburbs. weather now is part oof it but no one has more on the line than florida governor desantis who knows he needs a second place finish here. he's campaigning aggressively here today. >> he says he needs a second place finish. jeff, stay warm, my friend. we'll talk to you soon. my panel is with me now to break this down. margaret from axios, david chal, david, you're back. you were in iowa. barely made it back in time for this show. give us your lay of the land. where is this race now and how significant is tomorrow? >> one of the things i find
sorry that room is only for one man. jeff from illinois. saban's office says, do your job. i don't think he will be invited to the white house anytime soon. he's invited to jesse water's "prime time." how many crops are they picking in chicago? exactly. mark from indiana. if ai replaces 40% of our jobs why does nadler thinks we need more babys? i don't think nadler has thought that through. he's hungry. elmer from wisconsin. tackle football -- how about that tackle. who ever is working the desan advertise security team, well done. carroll from california. the california politicians want to ban tackle football because they never made the team. sour grapes i would say. or they were women.
>> sorry. that room is only one man. >> jeff from illinois. saban's office son says, do your job. >> i don't think he'll i doe houseto the whit house soon, but he's invited on. jesse watters, primetime soon.. >> bob from pennsylvania, how many crops are they pickingg in chicago? exactl y. mark from indiana, iiff i willes replace 40% of our jobs, why does nadler think we need bab more babies? >> i don't think nadler hasn' thought that thing through. all he knows is he's hungry. elmer from wisconsin tackle football's good practice for future climate activistsever at campaign rallies. yeah, how about that? tackle i whoever is workinge seu the desantis security team. >> well doneri wel, carol from california. the california politicia califnt to ban tackle football because they never made the team. sour grapes, i'd say. or they were women. m ne
howard dean ran for the democratic nation. also with us in iowa, frank luntz. governor dean, voters could be headed for the coldest caucuses, ever. what kind of impact do you think it will have? >> it definitely has an impact. everybody talks about the screams speech. i lost iowa and i was supposed to win. one of the reasons i lost was because we weren't able to do the kind of organizing we needed to do to get people out. i thought the comment that older people might not go out from just -- jeff, that is a huge deal. this weather is much worse than it was in 2004. i think it is going to be a real problem. i sense a real haley surge. i think that would be good for the country. i don't support her, but i
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