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Putin's calculus here, including in the u.s. you know, it's a war-weary public. how do those factors -- that one and others, influence his timing here. >> yeah. i think it has a lot to do with the timing. he has his own domestic reasons. his party is not very popular. he's not as popular as he was in the past. he may also think the clock is ticking on taking any action against ukraine and the global community because he's now strong. relatively speaking, he doesn't know what will happen in the future. he sees allies as divided. it is all wrong. it's i miscalculation. it will unite us and we wi...

Let's wait until january 2020, january 2021 and then the sanctions will go away. i think they've realized that the waiting game doesn't work. i think we're seeing an effort by iran to counterdisrupt in small, deniable ways. meanwhile the u.s. is moving in enormous amounts of military force. and we have the classic situation in which mis calculaticall -- mi miscalculation by either side and somebody makes a mistake, it's a dangerous situation. final thing i'd say, joe, is this president, who in a sense is allergic to middle east wars, we know that about him, is looking at this gathering storm a...