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Voters in Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire have just given a resounding answer to the question obsessing Westminster watchers all year: "Does the run...
Adam Boulton asks if the next election is more likely to be a re-enactment of John Major's surprise victory over Neil Kinnock, or the wipe-out the Conservatives suffered at the hands of Tony Blair.
Conservative vice-chairman Lee Anderson warned that Richard Tice's outfit is 'basically working for a Labour government' by splitting the right-wing vote.
Research for MailOnline showed Labour was viewed as more of a champion of lower taxes than the Conservatives by a margin of 37 per cent to 21 per cent.
The Chancellor faces a tough battle to keep his seat, with experts saying he could be among several big names to lose out when the country next goes to the polls