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There’s a splendid joke about the definition of an economist being someone who “will know tomorrow why the things they predicted yesterday didn't happen today.” Everyone’s warning everyone about everything these days: Recessions, plagues, housing collapses, overnight rates near 5 percent. The bigger the prediction, the bigger the headlines. No one has a crystal ball, but one thing for sure is that with the increase in both short and long-term rates, independent mortgage banks are seeing even less revenue. For example, their warehouse line costs have gone up. Optifunder’s Mike McFadden noted, “Rob, although every contract is different, with different covenants, with the migration from LIBOR, most warehouse lenders have resorted to some sort of SOFR as the reference rate. Each warehouse lender, however, has resorted to different terms or sources of SOFR (which is something Optfunder helps sort through). In general, many warehouse lines ar ....
The mortgage talk here in Cleveland is how, “Tough times never last but tough people do.” Many estimates have residential production hitting $4.8 trillion in 2021, so is there anyone left to refinance? Of course there is, and in many conversations with lenders, rate & term refis have been replaced by cash out. Black Knight, a mortgage technology and data provider, says there are still 3.8 million people who would benefit from refinancing (30-year fixed-rate mortgage holder with a maximum 80% loan-to-value ratio, a credit score of 720 or more, and a likelihood of reducing their current first lien rate by at least 0.75%) and potentially save $1 billion per month. But many MLOs and lenders have turned their attention to the purchase biz, so what are they doing? The current STRATMOR blog is, “What’s Next” about how lenders and MLOs are shifting to a purchase-centric focus. And unfortunately, even “purchase business” has a solid p ....
W.C. Fields said, “Money will not buy happiness, but it will let you be unhappy in nice places.” Unfortunately, many people have much less of it, and here’s a quiz to start the week. What are -68 percent, -66 percent, -60 percent, -40 percent, -13 percent, and -2 percent? They are all the stock performance since their initial public offering, or SPAC merger, of well-known companies in the residential mortgage business. And the numbers aren’t even the decline from their price highs, which would look much worse. In order of a hit taken: Home Point, loanDepot, Finance of America, United Wholesale, Rocket, and Guild. (Thank you to California’s Jeff B. for sending.) Every deal was different, but many analysts are questioning the franchise value of pure TPO (broker and ....
Sales, Tech, VOE Tools; Freddie and Fannie Changes Continue; Omicron and Mortgage Rates mortgagenewsdaily.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from mortgagenewsdaily.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.