Are there clear standouts, clear winners in some of these races? >> we think so. but we don't know so. because at gold derby, we have 30 experts, 22 say "slave" will win best picture, eight say "gravity" and i've heard more votes for "american hustle." >> so a three-way race. in terms of upset looking forward, are there some you think seem to be a shoo-in on some of these races and there could be a sleeper? like last year. >> yeah, christophe waltz came through and i nailed that, by the way. i want you to know, i take full bragging rights. and this year you've got to go out on one limb. my lim...