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Democrats in the 22nd Ward Open Caucus, a rump group of progressive committee people who have split from the ward's existing party leadership, voted last week to endorse Helen Gym for mayor.
Even before last week, it was clear that Seth Anderson-Oberman, challenger to incumbent 8th District Councilmember Cindy Bass, was generating buzz.
As you know, I’ve been running a model to predict the outcomes of upcoming Democratic Primary contests. The model has change over time, as described below, but has always been pretty accurate. Here, I present the final, last, ultimate version of the model, covering the final contests coming up in June. Why predict primaries and caucuses? Predicting primaries and caucuses is annoying to some people. Why not just let people vote? Polls predict primaries and caucuses, and people get annoyed at polls.