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I will get back on the UFR horse soon, promise, but every January/February I like to grab all of the year's play-by-play data, painstakingly repair the damaged bits, and recreate the information that (other) internet nerds used to. This all goes into those stat boxes I make for HTTV, which I've started working on in earnest the last few weeks. While I'm at it I thought it might be useful to put together a companion piece to discuss the statistical profile of Michigan and other teams of interest. I also figured I could make it a reference point for those boxes in the future, and also explain some of my decisions. Feedback is most welcome; I took Stats 404 in college and have been trying to figure out the rest as I go. Resources: College Football Data (CFBD). A good starting point. Free. You can download tons of raw stuff from them, including play-by-play and drive data. A lot of it's in admittedly rough shape, but they've done the hard part of scouring NCAA box ....
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I did this with the defense previously, and finally got around to the offense. Bear with me, Excel Geniuses, as I struggle to make the vlookup to index(match) transition. A lot of the lessons were discussed so often in the UFRs that it's not worth going over them again. Split Zone was their base running play, and they struggled all season to find appropriate counters for what defenses prepared against it because the natural counter for it QB keeper on zone read was not something they could get/were coaching(?) McNamara to do. The officiating got me all house-stompy again. Hassan Haskins was a steely-eyed missile man. Anyway this exercise is about finding things that were new. Favorite Plays? They were a Power and West Coast sorta team, which is to say, pretty Harbaugh. Type of Play Plays YPP EPA/P EPA(T) Power Run 255 5.3 +0.2 +55 Pass Short 219 5.9 +0.2 +41 Inside Zone 163 5.1 +0.2 +26 Pass Deep+Sack 114 10.8 +0.5 +59 Screen/RSO 33 4.3 -0.2 -6 Speed to the edge 33 9.8 +0.5 +16 Pl ....