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What we used to think of as swing states like north carolina. these important shifts and they validate a strategy that we reported about in the last couple weeks. where republicans were telling us, they're going to put money into races that biden holds, that biden democrats held by as much as plus 16. so conventional wisdom says, just stick with the single digits for races you can convert. they're saying we can make could not versions in 13, 14, 15. thats a massive closing of the gap. when we talk about january 6th, this matters to people who care about democracy issues but it doesn't rank at ...

Because folks really just dont like the job that joe biden is doing as president. so if you look at joe biden's net job approval rating, what you see is in the beginning of 2021, plus 16 points. many more people approved than disapproved. jump ahead to october and december, what do you see? minus 10. many more people disapproved than approved. that's occurring at the same time where that large democratic advantage on party affiliation which was 12 points in january and march actually switched to a gop advantage of plus 1 in the passenger of the kaiser and gallup polling. >> what about independ...

South jersey commercial truck driver currently leading the race against senate president steven sweeney who has been there quite some time. he only spent a fraction of what his opponent did could throw the new jersey legislature into lots of uncertainty. >> i call it is perfect storm so to speak because you had all these factors and then you add on top a governor who ignored the wishes of the people. >> new jersey doesn't have an automatic recount. both sides could request one. we'll wait to hear the latest on that. >> bill: apparently he will talk today. we'll wait for that. nice to see you i...

Defeating senate president steve sweeney on a campaign that cost $153, the primary. about five grand in the overall. there is your winner right there. truck driver. kevin mccarthy yesterday, congressman, predicted that democrats even in states deep plus 16 like new jersey are vulnerable. a bold prediction but what happened tuesday night was extraordinary. >> yeah, john. when you look across the country, if you're not paying attention to down on the southern border a city that hasn't voted for a republican in 80 years elects a republican mayor, your previous guest talked about electing a retire...

They look to 2022? last night we saw a candidate who kept trump away from him actually win. >> that's right. >> is that a message to other republicans that donald trump may be beloved by a limited base, a base that didn't put him in office for a second term but he loses on all other counts? >> that's exactly right, stephanie, and look, republicans had the opportunity of running in a macro environment. it was difficult for democrats, inflation is up. congressional democrats are in disarray. covid policy is kind of ping-ponging back and forth. we saw president biden on the world stage with afgha...