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To you that there would be some sort of outside chance that democrats would hold the house? or is that so anti-historical that it's just a big stretch? >> you know, it's a great question, andrea. i think it is -- i think republicans still have the advantage on whether or not they'll control the house because there are a series of trump districts or districts that trump won that democrats control that i think you'd say republicans are still likely the favorite in those. look, we've seen a pretty big change in some of these trump districts. places that were plus 15 or plus 12 are now down to, yo...

20, well under water, and this one is perhaps the biggest shock tore me, ron johnson under water at minus 8. an incumbent who has been elected twice. i think john and i were talking beforehand the wisconsin numbers i think are the biggest surprise. >> it might be the most problematic, for an incumbent you may think the favorability numbers would be the most likely to change. why shouldn't democrats be spiking the football? >> this is something that we are going to be talking about i think a lot. you know, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. which side outperformed their fina...

Variants? >> you know, there's no evidence, laura, that it's causing on a case by case basis, more severe disease, but when you have such an increase in cases because of its ability to transmit and have an advantage over the prior variants, we saw it gradually take over and now it is the dominant variant in the united states, if you do ba.4 plus 5 and it's the ice lats and ba.5 is now 60% which means it transmits better because it eludes the protection from infection, as it were for some of the vaccine protection. however, fortunately for us, for those who have been vaccinated and boosted, the...

We appreciate your time. >> thank you. >> trace: also here grady judge, florida sheriff. he said any shooter in polk county will be shot graveyard dead. when you say that, sir, are you intimating that you think this thing in uvalde was start to finish down the wrong way? >> first and foremost, i want to share with the families that i'm heart broken and crushed and they're in my prayers. absolutely, the door was propped up or left unlocked. we know it took an hour before there was a response. that is 59 minutes, 59 seconds too late. at the end of the day, we know that shootings, these active sh...

Because folks really just dont like the job that joe biden is doing as president. so if you look at joe biden's net job approval rating, what you see is in the beginning of 2021, plus 16 points. many more people approved than disapproved. jump ahead to october and december, what do you see? minus 10. many more people disapproved than approved. that's occurring at the same time where that large democratic advantage on party affiliation which was 12 points in january and march actually switched to a gop advantage of plus 1 in the passenger of the kaiser and gallup polling. >> what about independ...