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Thanks to the nflFastR project and NFL NextGen Stats for the timely sources of data. For those of you new to this, I will publish key QB stats each week judging how well the Colts passing game...
Thanks to the nflFastR project and NFL NextGen Stats for the timely sources of data. Commentary will be brief but feel free to let me know in the comments that stats aren’t everything. (click...
Here's everything you need to know before the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football.
It’s time to unleash No. 9.
Expected Points Added I’ve also calculated Expected Points Added for all the plays, which we get from knowing every down/distance/field position has a value, based on how many points an average offense is likely to score that drive. So for example: It’s 3rd and 14 on the Indiana 42 = 1.3 expected points* Ronnie Bell makes a 17-yard catch. Now it’s 1st and 10 on the Indiana 25 = 4.3 expected points Ronnie Bell’s catch equals 4.3 minus 1.3, or 3 EP. I treated touchdowns as 6.971 points, and adjusted all of these for opponent, based on Bill Connelly's SP+. So for example this play whic...