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At the end of the last block there. that's where for instance, ohio comes in. and the polling in ohio has been pretty close, you've got j. d. vance the republican, you got tim ryan the democratic congressman on average. vance the couple points ahead. you've seen some very close consistently close polls in the state. a lot of folks think that ryan has been running a very strong campaign here. here's the x-factor in ohio, it's how badly the polls have missed in ohio. the last couple of elections, we talk about polling misses all the time. they're not evenly spread out, in some states the polling...

Five and a half points behind brian kemp. and actually behind in the poll average raphael warnock, the democratic incumbent. it's an interesting dynamic here, trump of course, donald trump went to war politically with brian kemp earlier this year. in a republican primary, kemp survived. did that win him over some of those trump skeptical suburban voters outside atlanta? herschel walker may be having some trouble with. could split ticket voting save a senate seat for democrats, our own -- is covering the georgia race, joins us now from georgia. we have this x fire of -- a potential runoff in ge...

The insurance company enwasn't fair.ity y ca i didn't know what my case was worth, so i called the barnes firm. llll theararnes rmrm now the best result possible. all right, we are talking about ♪ call one eight hundred, eight million ♪ some of the states where democrats are trying to play off events, look at the senate battleground map here. states where democrats are trying to flip republican seats here. let's look at it from the other angle, look at democrats are most vulnerable here. georgia, that race in georgia has been tight all year. take a look though, the dynamic in georgia is th...

It's how badly the polls have missed in ohio. the last couple of elections, we talk about polling misses all the time. they're not evenly spread out, in some states the polling is actually been pretty good the last couple of elections. not ohio. in 2016 and in 2020 you could see it right here, this was the final poll average, trump was barely ahead in ohio, democrats came in to both election night that he had they had a shot in ohio. trump and putting the state in a runaway. so, that is one of the questions here, is the polling missing in ohio again? or is this for real? does ryan have a shot ...

>> john, let me flip it around to you. there's -- we talked about this at the top of the show, pick your poll average. the numbers are a bit all over the place right now. but they're relatively close on the generic ballot, i think. the most lopsided you're going to find is republicans by 2.9. there's other average that is have it closer. when you look at the republicans having this kind of advantage on four of the five most important issues, should the republican advantage be bigger in the generic -- in the generic average? is there something that's being missed here? is there another factor, ...