Page 9 - Polling Error News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Precedence, what harry reid is able to do, what the unions are able to do, in terms of turnout. >> four years ago, dean hall larhallard was barely -- hillary will win by 4 or 5, and cortez speaks by, the polling average is so close, it wouldn't take a large polling error to win. >> he just narrowly got over, even though it -- >> you've also got, i think the missouri race is the most. >> missouri, kind of like indiana, it's not really on the map, in the presidential. there's not a ton of presidential infrastructure there to turn folks out.

Hillary clinton, because prior to this, it was a really interesting split screen and there's beyonce over there without any graphic explanation. but now we've got it. and we also have the breaking news, which deserves to be on the screen too. which is that sam wang is giving this now a 99% certainty, josh, that hillary clinton's going to win. >> yeah, i wish were as confident as sam is. >> that's because you can't do calculations with -- what was it? 72 quadrillion possibilities. >> i think he can. >> when you look at the -- there are about six of these models, nate silver has one, "the new yo...

Confident as sam is. >> that's because you can't do calculations with -- what was it? 72 quadrillion possibilities. >> i think he can. >> when you look at the -- there are about six of these models, nate silver has one, "the new york times" has one, huffington post, and when you build these models, you put all those inputs in the poll -- from the polls but then there are two sort of knobs that you can turn that affect how high your confidence is. one is how accurate do you think the polling is, and if you think there's a significant risk of a systematic polling error, which is to say that poll...