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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - FOXNEWS - 20170108:23:44:00

Good to see you. happy new year as well. arthel: happy new year. hard to believe it s here. arthel: before we get going on the specific categories. remind us who votes on the golden globes and should pay attention. they are voted on by the hollywood foreign press association, cover hollywood for news outlets across the globe, hence the golden globe, they are to the oscars what the new hampshire primary is to the election. historically speaking, 65% of oscar winners did take a globe first, far from a perfect predictor, who in hollywood doesn t love to win an award? always a fun night. arthel: very fun to watch, too, lots of drinking going on there. let s go to the best motion picture comedy or musical. everybody s gaga for la la are. that s right, la la land has this in the bag, colorful, romantic, dazzling musical, ....

Hollywood Foreign Press , News Outlets , New Hampshire Primary , Golden Globe Awards , In Hollywood Doesn T , Takea Globe First , La Land , Motion Picture Comedy , Lets Go , Pla Are , Dazzling Musical ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161207:21:14:00

He is not done. what do you think is next? i thought his adacknowledgement. he was not aware and you and i both know the best predictor is if they have run for president in the past. this is not an illness that you lose wanting to run for president. that is true for bide in having been so close to it. he looks at it and said i m in good health and i m sure he believes he would have won this election had he run and had circumstances been different with the death of his son, beau. he is not at the point i take him at he doesn t see it happening, but he doesn t rule it out. in two years s time or before ....

It Happening ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20161205:12:57:00

Able to push them harder. this was part of trump s sell. you have a great piece in foreign affairs magazine which is worth reading and taking the time to get it because a lot of this is very complex. but some of the ideas that you boil down is, that this populism that we re seeing across europe, and that we saw here in the united states, is more about culture now than the traditional economic models that it used to be based on. and that trump even with what he s doing with china is letting people know you are not forgotten. you matter. we re going to take you country back for you. how does that work? you re exactly right. the biggest shift that s taken place in voting, and you see it with trump, is this move from economic through most of the 20th century if you wanted to predict how somebody was voting you d say, how rich are you? and working class people voted left, upper middle class people voted right. what s happened now is that the single best predictor of how somebody is go ....

Foreign Affairs , United States , China S ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161115:18:48:00

Of the predictive analytics is based on people s past behaviors. and so when people predict turnout, it s thought that the biggest predictor of turnout is your history of voting. if you re a regular voter, you re highly likely to vote the next time. if we had a significant shift in who voted this time, rural white voters who may not have voted in 2012 now feeling motivated to vote for trump, the obama coalition not to turn out the way way for hillary clinton, we ll see that those types of models are not predicted with future behavior and if that s the case, everybody suffers, republicans, democrats, public researchers trying to make sense of this, too. one of the things you got involved in was looking at realtime data as news outlets we don t do. you caught some flack for not getting it right early on. we caught some movement later in the day. we re sorting through our data ....

Predictive Analytics , Donald Trump , President Obama , Hillary Clinton , Warehouse Republicans , News Outlets ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20161112:17:55:00

How did we get it so wrong? i put my reliance on the data and i would visit these states and i would have a gut feeling that trump really seems like he has a chance in wisconsin but then i would look toe polling and say, oh, well, it s never historical trends, someone who is this behind, you know, it just can t be. you weren t trusting your gut. i wasn t trusting my gut and i think that that was a lot of our problem and i think that this just shows how elite political opinion and the media and, youknow, as i was a part of that, we became so fixated on seeing one outcome that we didn t imagine the possibility of another. and i think that one huge predictor that i pointed to that was an outlier was the enthusiasm gap. you would meet people who said that they were voting for hillary clinton and they just weren t that enthusiastic, but trump supporters were really passionate. you look at the end of the day those hillary supporters just didn t turn out the way that they did for barack ....

Gut Feeling , Toe Polling , Enthusiasm Gap , Hillary Clinton , President Obama , Weren T ,