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货币政策、经济周期与资产配置 | 财富书单⑨

推荐语：人的决策会对经济周期、企业周期、市场周期产生巨大影响。大自然的周期相当规律，而人参与的经济活动、企业活动、投资活动的周期则非常不规律，因为人性决定了这些周期要么向上走极端，要么向下走极端。如果理解并掌握周期，就可以顺应周期的趋势，本书中关注的周期有三大类。
第一类周期是基本面周期：经济周期、政府调节逆周期、企业盈利周期。经济周期取决于GDP周期，影响因素一是参加生产的总人口，二是生产效率。政府调节逆周期，其实体现在政府逆周期调节，熨平经济波动，主要依靠货币政策和财政政策，但是政府官员也无法准确预测经济周期。企业盈利周期，从理论上讲，所有企业的产出之和就是一个国家的GDP，可是企业盈利波动幅度是GDP波动幅度的两三倍，甚至更大。其中的主要原因是企业使用了两大杠 ....

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驾驭周期vs穿越周期：疯狂时期的投资丨财富书单⑦

驾驭周期vs穿越周期：疯狂时期的投资丨财富书单⑦
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债务与魔鬼：凝结在利率中的金融霸权 | 财富书单⑥

债务与魔鬼：凝结在利率中的金融霸权 | 财富书单⑥
sina.com.cn - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from sina.com.cn Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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