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Central Bank Watch: BOE & ECB Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: The BOE and the ECB won’t meet again for six weeks. Nevertheless, speculation around what they may do next continues to drive markets. Throttling back its QE program is just the beginning of the normalization process for the BOE, while rising inflation pressures may give pause to the ECB when thinking about another easing step. Beginning to Throttle Back In this edition of Central Bank Watch, we’ll cover the two major central banks in Europe: the Bank of England and the European Cent...

HPSI Dips as Consumers' Pessimism Toward Homebuying Conditions Sets Survey Record Gap Between Homebuying and Home-Selling Sentiment Continues to Widen News provided by Share this article ® (HPSI) decreased in April by 2.7 points to 79.0. Four of the HPSI's six components decreased month over month, most notably the component related to home-buying conditions, which turned net negative for the first time in the survey's history. This decline was offset in part by consumers' ongoing optimism toward home-selling conditions, which continued its significant rise from this time last year and has n...

Central Bank Watch: BOE & ECB Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: Although the BOE doesn’t meet again until May, the ECB is squarely in focus with its April rate decision this week. For now, neither major central bank in Europe – the BOE nor the ECB – appears ready to move on rates soon, given meager forward discount rates per overnight index swaps. Keeping Calm and Carrying On In this edition of Central Bank Watch, we’ll cover the two major central banks in Europe: the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. As time has pressed forward ...

Central Bank Watch: BOC, RBA, & RBNZ Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: Ongoing stability in global bond yields has helped provoked a drop in early rate hike expectations among the Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of Australia, and Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The April RBNZ meeting yielded a hold with an arguably hawkish tone, while the BOC meets next week for its April policy gathering. Retail trader positioningsuggests that the near-term outlook is bullish for the commodity currencies. Central Banks Holding the Line In this edition of Central Bank Watc...

Central Bank Watch: BOC, RBA, & RBNZ Interest Rate Expectations Update Advertisement Central Bank Watch Overview: As the rise in global bond yields has steadied in recent weeks, nascent rate hike expectations have cooled off at each of the commodity currency central banks. The drop in rate hike expectations is in line with otherwise clear guidance that BOC, RBA, and RBNZ main rates will remain on hold for the foreseeable future. Retail trader positioningsuggests that the near-term outlook is choppy for the commodity currencies. Central Bank Push Back Working, For Now In th...