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we have five months until election day. now every poll that comes out we know it's me particular alsoly dissected as we all try to analyze where the momentum is. this time around we have seen trump looking strong in poll after poll. but, a few recent surveys including one from us here at fox, shows the race tighter and it triggered some wishful thinking syndrome in some corridors. >> big shift among independent voters could signal some new momentum for president biden. >> every poll suggests a tight race. this one shows a little momentum, perhaps. >> probably than biden has had in re...

And the caucuses coming up monday. if you look at the latest rcp average of polls, obviously the former president enjoys a big lead over nikki haley now in second. these are just polls. but they are a snapshot in time of the recent polls that we have seen. you know how caucuses work. it is who shows up and with that weather, iowans are pretty sturdy. >> they are. we will throw on our carhartts and cover all's and get out in the bad weather no doubt about it. i would encourage all iowans go out and show support for your favorite candidate. of course, the former president he is quite popular acr...

I'm persuading them. there's a process. >> iowa we play a nice role. we get to hear all the candidates. we get to listen to them. see firsthand. >> it looks like we're going to have maybe single digit temperatures on caucus day, buff the roads should be clear. we will be there. >> bret: and they are diehards here. it's different it really is. closer look at this last political push before the iowa caucuses. let's bring in our panel of local political journalists, lynn, the des moines register bureau chief for the cedar rapids gazette. thanks for being here on stage. lynn, let me start with you...

Him to get out as well because they've now moved on to nikki haley. so that's where that's at right now. the rcp average general election poll of trump versus biden now looking at 46.5% for trump, 44%% for biden. and that's causing a lot of panic with not just democrat voters, but also with the guy behind the curtain, the wizard of oz, obama, who wants another term for joe biden. he's so worried he's urging joe biden to, you know, bolster his campaign. a lot of top officials remain in the white house instead of moving on to his campaign payroll. and he's saying, hey, you've got to get your guy...

Unpopular and disaster of a president that he cannot win reelection. he can. it is true he has the most unpopular president in the history of polling going back to world war ii. 76% of americans say he is too old for a second term. he is underwater on every single-issue voters say they care about. and yet to come if you look at the real clear politics average, his statistically tied with donald trump and leads by 2.2% in the rcp average. with a president that is so weak and so vulnerable as joe biden, the republican ought to be crushing it in the polls. and that race will tighten even more bet...