Tend to have less of a drive to the polling place. the smaller dots, not only does trump want to win big, but we will know if this is a 2016 with donald trump and ted cruz splitting the vote or if desantis will be competitive. he better be like ted cruz . if it s all red for trump, big night . thank you so much. as a pollster, what stands out to you in the numbers? donald trump is so far ahead that his leader so large and has only gotten bigger as we have gotten closer and more voters have tuned in. a big problem that both ron desantis and nikki haley have is that as voters get closer and closer to the caucuses and have learned more about them,
Voters have tuned in. a big problem that both ron desantis and nikki haley have is as they ve gotten closer to the c caucuses, they haven t gained enough momentum to put a dent in trump s lead. if the gap is 20, is that really a win for trump, if it s 30, sure it is. for most voters, a win is a win. if donald trump comes even close to 50%, if he s got a double-digit margin he ll count it as a win and so will his voters. nikki haley had a criticism that she s not tough enough. let s play what she said. he s saying this because now he knows he s in trouble. now he knows this is becoming a two-person race. so i know that he knows the truth. it doesn t bother me at all. the fact that he is spending time attacking her? listen, trump s he attacks ramaswamy and he attacks everybody. he s still in the race and i
In the hawkeye state for the final stretch of this campaign, speaking directly to voters and candidates themselves. here s what ron desantis and nikki haley have told me in the last 12 hours as they make their closing arguments. donald trump is the party of the washington, d.c., establishment. they lined up behind him. i m the candidate that would be a change agent in washington, d.c. i like that contrast. i m a conservative governor. i was a conservative ambassador. i m going to be a conservative president. at the end of the day, i m going to treat people with respect, i m going to overcommunicate everything happening and i m going to focus on lifting up everybody, not just a select few. i want to bring in my great panel of reporters who are also here trudging through the snow and the cold weather here. jeff zeleny and kristin holmes, both of cnn, seth herndon of the new york times is finally here. we re finally here.
To your caucus site. i will be picking up my mom and heading out to the caucuses. so it s an exciting time. and you are right, you know, the polls are just a senate in time. i m anxious to see what monday evening brings. bret: you know, you remain neutral in this race. you said you were going to be from the beginning wait until you get to a nominee. i just want to tap into your political savviness about the message we heard from governor desantis tonight after monday he is going to south carolina. not going to new hampshire. what do you think that tells us? well, i think it tells us maybe he hasn t focused on new hampshire like he should have. he will just skip over that and head down to south carolina. but he has spent a lot of time in iowa. and we re grateful for that. but ambassador haley has really been putting in a lot of hard work in the number of states it
Time. we appreciate. it the vivek ramaswamy canvassing and working the phones today as governor ron desantis stopped by his headquarters to pump up volunteers. and plead for those last second votes. it may be as few as 130, 140,000 people. your vote matters a great deal on monday night especially given the weather. he will get some more help tomorrow as 47 florida state officials and lawmakers fly in to stump for him. [applause] former president trump is set to arrive in iowa tomorrow to host t rallying. his son don jr. telling supporters not to get too cocky. the prefer nikki haley surging rapidly. everyone is like we are winning by so much. stay home. why would you go out it s minus 4. don t think that way. and bret, tonight, some late breaking developments. fox is told by the desantis
Prohibitive now and in the past few days ron desantis and nikki haley have spent most of their time, not all, most of their time attacking each other. fighting each other for second place. so there is an expectations game here. but the worst case scenario really for the desantis and haley crowd and all the people who want to move on from former president trump worst case scenario is he gets over 50%. that s a devastating blow to them because they want to be able to say look, a majority of republicans still didn t vote for donald trump. if a majority do, they are in pretty bad shape. we ll follow it all. countdown is on. up next, the friday lightning round, ufos, third party politics plus winners and losers, and, later, notable quobletion. that s how it felt to live with bladder and bowel incontinence. but that changed when my urologist told me about axonics therapy. a long-lasting solution that has really changed my life.
And the caucuses coming up monday. if you look at the latest rcp average of polls, obviously the former president enjoys a big lead over nikki haley now in second. these are just polls. but they are a snapshot in time of the recent polls that we have seen. you know how caucuses work. it is who shows up and with that weather, iowans are pretty sturdy. they are. we will throw on our carhartts and cover all s and get out in the bad weather no doubt about it. i would encourage all iowans go out and show support for your favorite candidate. of course, the former president he is quite popular across iowa. though we have seen governor desantis and ambassador haley really have a good showing and a lot of support here across iowa as well. so, i would just remind everybody if you have an elderly neighbor that might be discouraged by the cold, go ahead and give them a lift down
Campaign that the governor will be traveling to south carolina right after the iowa caucuses instead of going to new hampshire, which is tradition. apparently he wants to target nikki haley in her home state and send a message that he is serious about beating her there. he will have a campaign event in greenville, south carolina and then he will travel up to new hampshire. bret? bret: that is interesting. as far as logistics. aishah hasnie, thanks. democrats are not caucusing this election cycle in iowa. but there is speculation. one democrat may pose a challenge to president biden. west virginia democratic senator joe manchin. he may be exploring a third party bid. correspondent mark meredith has details tonight. good evening, mark. bret, good evening to you. senator joe manchin certainly appears to be testing the waters for a third party presidential bid. tonight the group no labels, which is tease ago unity ticket is actively to get itself registered in dozens of states.
Ambassador nikki haley have defended the support of ukraine. because that is a real friction pot it could be an area of conflict. friction pot it could be an area of conflict. donald trump has denied area of conflict. donald trump has denied all area of conflict. donald trump has denied all charges - area of conflict. donald trump has denied all charges againstj has denied all charges against him and is planning to be in atlanta on thursday. what can we expect to see? we atlanta on thursday. what can we expect to see? atlanta on thursday. what can we expect to see? we have kind of a script we expect to see? we have kind of a script because we expect to see? we have kind of a script because this - we expect to see? we have kind of a script because this is - we expect to see? we have kind of a script because this is not. of a script because this is not donald trump as make indictment or booking. he will show up at the fulham countyjail. he will have his mug shot taken and be processed. to be formally entered into the registrar of the criminaljustice the criminal justice proceedings. in the criminaljustice proceedings. in previous indictments that has happened indictments that has happened in the same time as the arraignment before the judge began the preliminary proceedings before a trial. in new york, washington, dc, in florida, he showed up, was
if you wanted the blueprint to ruin america, you would target the our education system, and you would make sure that the next generation of leaders were indoctrinated and not educated. you would tell today s kids that if you re white, you are an oppressor, and if you re black or brown with, your future is grievance. not greatness. will: not all of those individuals have announced. tim scott s on a listening tour the, vivek ramaswamy, nikki haley have, of course, as well as donald trump pete: two very different events there as well. cpac, thousands of can conservatives, there were about a hundred big donorses, so different audiences for those speeches. you know, donald trump probably doesn t win the straw poll with the big donors at club for growth, but he wins it overwhelmingly with voters and with the base right now which i don t care what other candidate you re looking at, if you re