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Robert Ayson's advocacy of a sanctions regime for New Zealand in case of a Russian invasion of Ukraine is a bad idea based on poor intelligence.The "Russian invasion" narrative was always a beat-up, and there is no support from major players in Europe for sanctions such as removal from the SWIFT payment system. Russia's claim for border security is reasonable and essential for peace.
Opinion - New Zealand's position amidst tensions between Russia, Ukraine and the West is examined by international analyst Geoffrey Miller.
Analysis - Victoria University Professor of Strategic Studies Robert Ayson breaks down the Pacific trends informing New Zealand's 2021 Defence Assessment.
Casting the atomic canon: (R)evolving nuclear strategy
New Zealand's security in the Pacific is on a 'negative trajectory', defence officials have warned. The most concerning threats include a more powerful China, and possible military bases in the Pacific.