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So what does that mean? first of all things could change in iowa and new hampshire but it is also true in the past is voting in iowa and new hampshire which come first does influence the voting later on. people in south carolina look at what happened in iowa and look at what happened in new hampshire and it does factor into their votes. not sure how this divide is going to be healed in the future. >> bill: national polling democratic primaries. the difference a month can make. joe biden up three points. buttigieg up six points. buttigieg was polling at 0% in south carolina, really toward the b...

. so, democrats are now telling axios that, quote, a very realistic scenario calls for pete buttigieg to win iowa, elizabeth warren to win new hampshire and joe biden to win south carolina and bernie sanders to win. joining me to break this all down, susan del percio, msnbc analyst and republican strategist, and phillip reince, former spokesman for hillary clinton. tell me if you think this is going to happen. i want to go through each of the candidate's chances of winning those states. let's start with pete buttigieg and elizabeth warren. we know buttigieg has been leading the polls in iowa...