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Polling numbers. >> we're going to talk about dead man walking. they didn't think i'd make it to the recall election. we didn't back down last year. we will not back down in this race. >> some of the other republicans now starting to weigh in. moments ago donald trump saying, "he's a very nice person and has a great future." let's bring in casey hunt, sheera center, adolfo franco. >> obviously on paper it's clear why he is getting out of the race. we are looking at a race we've been saying is more fluid than any race we've ever seen. 15, 16 candidates out there.

Oh, are we early? [ male announcer ] commute your way with the bold, all-new nissan rogue. ♪ blast from the past. senator rand paul slams the clintons by bringing up the lewinsky scandal. and the so-called war on women, senator paul says women are actually winning. those are today's topics for our agenda panel. joanne reid, igor volsky, and sheera center. i know you've seen it, but let's bring everybody up to speed on rand paul bringing up monica lewinsky, when asked whether bill clinton's relationship with lewinsky can be fair game if hillary ran.

Democrats. >> it's probably more politically advantageous to democrats, but i don't think it's going to matter. i don't think voters are going to be litigating this on the air waves or talking about this particular vote come november. if anything, feeds into a larger message democrats could put forward, if they are lucky. >> keli goff, lee fang, and sheera center. appreciate it. >> thank you. >> find more from our panel and join our agenda setters on thomas's website, thomasroberts.msnbc.com. we'll be back and looking for the president's live remarks on the jobless benefits debate. you're watc...

Hit that took to the economy and consumer confidence, that could be much more damaging than any worries over a shutdown. >> okay. sheera, you want to throw out a number? >> i agree with andy. i think under five certainly. probably around three. republican leaders to not want a fight over a government shutdown. it's bad politics. it's bad messaging. they'd much rather very a show down over the debt ceiling. >> okay. andy sullivan and mrs. center, thank you very much. have a good one. how smart phones have made the problem of cyber bullying harder to fight. we're going to tell you about a case...

The united states default. never in history have we used just making sure that the u.s. government is paying its bills as a lever to radically cut government at the kind of scale they're talking about. >> joining me now, political reporter for reuters, andy sullivan, and politics editor for roll call, sheera center. best wishes to you, newlywed. >> thank you. >> we always go with newlyweds first. what is the risk/reward factor for republicans if they decide to force a government shutdown over obama care? >> right. so the reward is really with the party's conservative base. this is something a ...