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Is it likely the curve ends steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. The yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is...

The reality is this curve should stephen steepen because of less foreign competition for treasuries. When you add in the 700 billion next year, we think that the recipe for a steeper curve. Is it likely the curve ends next year steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. Does not get out of control, so the yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about...

Following the successful trading session in asia. Mifid ii, 15 minutes into the trading session, there was 25 less volume ban on the 30 day moving average. Looking at your dollardollar, unchanged. Tle bit at 2. 7 my 10 year yield . Well talk geopolitics and south and north korea talking. Coming up on bloomberg surveillance, we will be speaking to Lucy Macdonald, chief Investment Officer at lianzl equities and al global investors. Twe also discussed the new financial law. And Daniel Morris also joins us at 10 00 a. M. Lets get straight to the bloomberg first word news. Nejra u. S. President don...

A fresh week for a lot of markets. Asian equities off to a stronger start. The handoff from the United States in terms of the s p 500 was fresh record highs again. Take a look at global markets. Index up, a selloff in new zealand. Markets in tokyo are closed for a holiday. We dont get much indication there. Australian bonds lower, tracking moves in treasuries. Take a look at the south african currency, downside on the back of comments from authority saying they will take actions to stem moves in the currency. Commodities space, pressure on the metals. We did have that supercharged rally that h...

Beijing may finally be winning its war on smog. Plenty more on those stories over the next couple of hours. Calendar today is trade numbers out of china for the month of december appeared rounding out has been a year of significant recovery when it comes to chinese exports in particular. 5643. After the declines over the past couple of years we do see two years of decline followed by that recovery. We are looking at december, a 10 year on year rise when it comes to exports coming in dollar terms. Thats a little moderation from novembers 12. 3 rise. Imports looking to pick up significantly. The...