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We expect aggressive stimulus. Meanwhile, the decline in the shanghai stock market hasnt hurt our markets. Thats a big change. Ill call it a half check. Thats why we have half checks. Maybe it can be a full check on monday if the parliament does the right thing. Fourth, do we have a commodity bottom . Copper is breaking out. Im feeling more confident this group may be going down. Not necessarily from increased demand which is what we like but from reduced supply so what were going to do is give it a check mark. Box number five, oil needs to stop going down. The relentless slide must end. Hmm. ...

As long as we dont get a smoking hot employment number on friday. This is good enough for government work. You know what im doing . Im checking it off. Two, we need some resolution to the political uncertainty. The last time we went down the list, we had no certainty in either party. After last night, barring some extreme, its hillary versus the donald. Now we can create portfolios for either eventuality. Maybe ensuring our portfolio for some of them. I say check third, we need china to get better. Its gotten worse but the frame index has been creeping up slowly and theres be a big Chinese Par...

Anybody expected. Dow roaring 349 points, s p up and nasdaq up 2. 89 . First, like many of the super bullish days its beginning before many wake up. We got news from overseas that pointed us this the path that could take us higher. What else is new . You could tell by the way its news from overseas that drives if you go to bed at 11 00 p. M. When the futures arent doing much at all and you wake up at 3 00 a. M. And theyre flying, thats a sign that somewhere some place we got some good news at last. You can tweet me if you keep this schedule as i do and ill retweet you for certain. We got two p...

It phony . Putting the averages in the black for the year. I keep hearing the question. So let me give you the answer from the old days when i was running money at my hedge fund. If youre long the right stock sos if you own them during six Straight Days of gains this rally is very much real and you are not questioning it. If youre in the wrong stocks or assuring the winners you would be asking the question is it real . Being wrong poses real risks like not being able to think straight. Being right, you know whats real and whats not because your head is clear. You thought it through. You recogn...

Serious about taking a great leap forward with their economy. Now they meet saturday and with the weak numbers as the stars are aligned for the biggest stimulus package yet, the year of the monkey, i think theyll put more money to work than people think. China can turn, its done its before. Who know, maybe we will get some meaningful stimulus. At the very least the lousy chinese manufacturing numbers sure turned the stock market around over there which went from black, and as the session proceeded. Far more important, we have a shockingly dovish speech from bill dudley. Hes the new york fed pr...