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Ii to the bush senior years, there were two things you could count on in new jersey, the rutgers football team would be bad and the state's voters would go republican. heading into the 1992 election, they voted in six straight presidential elections, and in 1992, bill clinton managed to eke out a win, that is really the way to put it. look at what happened just four years after that. in 1996, bill clinton wins new jersey again, this time his margin explodes, 18 points, ten points more than he beat bob dole nationally. that is a huge swing. and there is a reason for it. new jersey swing voters ...

Swing states and turned them into deep, dark blue states. take for example, new jersey, the garden state, from world war ii to the bush senior years, there were two things you could count on in new jersey, the rutgers football team would be bad and the state's voters would go republican. heading into the 1992 election, they voted in six straight presidential elections, and in 1992, bill clinton managed to eke out a win, that is really the way to put it. look at what happened just four years after that. in 1996, bill clinton wins new jersey again, this time his margin explodes, 18 points, ten p...

Shutdown, bad after the shutdown. in 1996, republicans lost a net total of three seats in the house and you gain two. so yeah, you put all of this together and you can make the case that the the '95 shutdown didn't hurt the republicans all that much. but this is only part of the story. the real version is more complicated. because there was more damage inflicted on the republican party after the election, the damage that they're still living with today. basically it was the 1996 elections, the first election after the 1995 shutdown, and the first election after newt gingrich took control of co...

Republicans all through the reagan and bush senior years, they went big for clinton in 1996, and never went back. now no, the 1995 shutdown is not the only reason this all happened. there are a lot of other factors. but the real story of the '90s, both parties sorted themselves out. the clear and deep cultural and geographical divisions between them, the states stopped voting for democrats and painted themselves deeply red. other states, the states i just talked about went the other way, leaving us with the basic red state/blue state divide we know now. the question is, is it sorting out. the ...

Single point in 1992, and then in 1996 when he won it. since then, the democrats have won new hampshire all but one since the presidential race, and with the switch of the votes in 2000, it would be a clean sweep for them. connecticut, maine, delaware, illinois, michigan, a whole bunch of states that were in play, that were winnable for republicans all through the reagan and bush senior years, they went big for clinton in 1996, and never went back. now no, the 1995 shutdown is not the only reason this all happened. there are a lot of other factors. but the real story of the '90s, both parties ...