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One from new hampshire. they show a tight race at the top among voters in the first two states to vote for the democratic nominee. elizabeth warren leads the pack in both with bernie sanders not far behind. next, pete buttigieg. and in fourth, joe biden, who once dominated all the polls. inga is joining me now from london. she is chair of the uk chapter of democrats abroad. inga, thanks for coming on. good morning. >> good morning. >> well, let's begin right there with what we just said about that poll. warren is on top, followed by bernie sanders, then buttigieg, then biden. well, let's talk ...

Shift dramatically with about three weeks to go. and new hampshire is heavily influenced by who comes out of iowa. >> let's look at iowa. we have numbers in iowa also. joe biden at 29%. bernie sanders at 26%. elizabeth warren at 17%. buttigieg 7%, harris 6%. it is interesting the biden campaign has been holding conference calls with reporters basically arguing that joe biden doesn't have to win in iowa or new hampshire. these aren't must-win states. they're trying to lay the ground work that this is a long, national campaign. >> right. they're playing the expectations game. but i think we shou...

Hampshire, iowa, and south carolina right now. >> look. you have to understand, this is 50 separate races. and so a national poll, it really reflects name recognition. they're not useless, but six months out they're not all that helpful. >> thank you. so now let's dive into some of the state polls. i guess we'll start with new hampshire because that's really interesting. elizabeth warren in this cbs poll, has ticked ahead of joe bid biden. she has 27%. biden has 26%. sanders with 25%. then buttigieg and harris. what are you seeing? >> that's what i hear is going on in navrpz. bernie of course ...

June to may. we see elizabeth warren jumped from 14% in may to 25% in june, but then take ape look at the moderate to conservative lane. she hasn't moved at all. she moved a point down. she is now starting to take the lead among liberal demps according to monmouth university and that's the lane she's dominating right now. >> how much of it is about monmouth versus suffolk poll? any better numbers for bernie? >> the suffolk poll that doesn't have a trend line, baeshds was at the same 15%, elizabeth warren was 10%. you might find bernie sanders ahead of warren, warren ahead of sanders. there is ...