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Midterms about which he seems confident. >> i think the republicans are going to do very nicely. we're doing very well with the senate. >> when the president's son-in-law and senior adviser was asked about republicans' chances, he was a bit more guarded. >> i don't know. i mean, i see mixed data. the data that we look at shows it's all about the turnout. models. so i think people who have different turnout models will show different things. one thing i learned is i wouldn't bet against trump. he's a black swan. he's been a black swan all of his life. >> so a black swan. a statistical anomaly. ...

Someone he once called the single biggest liar, someone who trump once implied was not sufficiently american due to his foreign birth. but politics makes strange bedfellows. trump has upgraded his nickname for texas senator ted cruz from lyin' ted to beautiful ted. just one of many stump speeches the president is making for the midterms about which he seems confident. >> i think the republicans are going to do very nicely. we're doing very well with the senate. >> when the president's son-in-law and senior adviser was asked about republicans' chances, he was a bit more guarded. >> i don't know...

Over the course of the last two weeks we've seen polls in the states where donald trump won, reddish states in 2016. the statewide races have been going in the republican direction but polls are a lagging indicator. we could see them revert easily. >> the enthusiasm is widened when it comes to democrats and republicans. republicans saw that boost after the kavanaugh hearing, but there still a lot more democrats that say they're more excited to vote this year than they did in 2014. 2014 was not a great year. when we look at those turnout models, how confident are you that these people who say t...

Polls. she's using all of his myriad positions on repealing obamacare and some viral clips that exist of him with donald trump, essentially threatening him to try to win the race. you're also right about the rural. they usually only make up about 15%, 18% of the vote. in a low turnout election, they're so conservative. they love trump. they hate most democrats. that is what could save dean heller. by the way, even though i'm not with you, you are sitting in the most important swing county in nevada. it's very closely split. dean heller needs to win by a big margin. >> and what do you think is ...

>> no, of course not. there is a racial tinge to these remarks of roy moore and how unlikely the turnout models turned out the way they did. yeah. he was an exceptionally flawed candidate and drove these strange turnout models, not election irregularity other than irregular candidate and talking about steve bannon and his role in this and minor and towards the end, the's no person in america more thrilled that steve bannon got involved this case late and allowed the name attached to it than mitch mcconnell. you talk about somebody what wants to get the bannon brand disassociated from the repub...