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Interest rate expectations: US inflation threatens developing economies

Interest rate expectations: US inflation threatens developing economies
While policymakers in developing countries are fighting the continued spread of the coronavirus, they are also facing the economic threat of inflation not just at home.
Rising prices in major economies (especially the United States) have intensified investors’ expectations for interest rate hikes. This pushes up bond yields, and as buyers demand higher returns, it is more expensive for other countries to sell bonds.
What should have been good news the beginning of a global recovery has become a threat: Borrowing costs in countries such as South Africa and Brazil will reach dangerously high levels, throwing their already precarious public finances into chaos. ....

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Moody's has doubts over Modi's ability to see through big reforms

Moody’s has doubts over Modi’s ability to see through big reforms
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Fang said that at Moody’s there had been concerns about the effectiveness and implementation of major policy prescriptions dished out by the government in recent years even before it had downgraded its sovereign rating on India to Baa3.
For Moody’s, which has retained its negative outlook on India’s credit rating, the country’s potential growth rate still remains vulnerable to such policy ineffectiveness.
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MUMBAI: With a slew of steps to liberalise labour laws, agriculture market and ramp-up privatisation projects, the government has recently projected itself as a major reformer. Even the Union Budget, announced earlier this month, has been touted by some as reformist given the government’s apparent departure from fiscal conservatism towards fiscal activism through higher spending on capital formation. ....

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As borders close and employers collapse, OFWs play the waiting game

TECHNICIAN Gilbert A. Gayeta GILBERT A. GAYETA FACEBOOK ACCOUNT
CRUISE ship entertainer Harry G. Bayona HARRY G. BAYONA FACEBOOOK ACCOUNT
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CRUISE SHIP singer Harry G. Bayona was home for a two-month holiday, which has since dragged on for more than half a year, and counting.
“It’s really stressful because this is how I make a living now,” Mr. Bayona said in a Zoom interview, noting that he had hoped his cruise career was a turning point for his ambitions to make it overseas.
When the COVID-19 outbreak turned into a pandemic, Gilbert A. Gayeta, a technician, was among the 300 employees sent home from a single company in Saudi Arabia. ....

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Africa expected to see a subdued economic recovery in 2022

Africa expected to see a subdued economic recovery in 2022 - CNBC Africa
Ghana, Senegal & Uganda met virtually with international financial partners and risk analysts to discuss the most urgent risks and mitigation solutions at ATI’s (www.ATI-ACA.org) annual Roundtable; Analysts noted that Africa is expected to see a subdued economic recovery in 2021 and not likely to reach 2019 growth levels till 2022; Debt defaults are likely to be contained to a small subset of countries with little chance of contagion spreading to other countries in the region.
At the African Trade Insurance Agency’s (ATI) Annual Investor Roundtable, investors, risk analysts and African governments weighed in on the prospects for the region to recover from the impacts of COVID-19. Analysts predicted a subdued recovery in 2021 with the possibility of countries not returning to 2019 growth levels till 2022. ....

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