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California and National Drought Summary for May 18, 2021, 10 Day Weather Outlook, and California Drought Statistics – 73% of California in Extreme Drought

California and National Drought Summary for May 18, 2021, 10 Day Weather Outlook, and California Drought Statistics – 73% of California in Extreme Drought
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Warm, Wet February In The Aleutians Linked To Warming Ocean Temperatures


In Unalaska, it s also been the rainiest start to February since 2004. So far, the island has recorded more than eight inches of rain this month, with more than a week left to go. The normal February precipitation for Unalaska is six and a half inches.
Credit Courtesy of Tacho
While much of Alaska has been bitterly cold this month, the Aleutian Islands and Alaska Peninsula have been extraordinarily mild. 
It s part of the recent warming pattern in the Bering Sea, and communities along the Aleutian Chain can expect a similar trend moving forward, says Rick Thoman, a climate specialist with the University of Alaska Fairbanks. ....

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Bering Sea Storm Could Set Record Low Pressure


Credit Courtesy of Rick Thoman
The collision of a warm, wet weather front with a mass of cold air from Siberia could set a new record: the lowest barometric pressure recorded in the North Pacific. 
That could mean hurricane-force winds and high seas in the Southwestern Bering Sea. 
This storm is generating a lot of interest from weather watchers around the world, said climate specialist Rick Thoman of the University of Alaska Fairbanks.
He said the storm which is expected to reach Unalaska by Thursday night will be comparable to ex-Typhoon Nuri in 2014, and to another record storm that touched down near Adak in 2015, causing wind damage in Unalaska and the Pribilof Islands. ....

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Balloon Juice | Choice overload on Healthcare.gov


The Affordable Care Act’s individual markets are predicated on choice as a means of discipline. Individuals are assumed to be able to sort through complex insurance contracts, networks and estimates of their likely future healthcare needs and choose optimal or near optimal plans. Individual choice, thus aggregated, is supposed to provide a very strong signal to the markets to provide more of a desirable set of characteristics and less of undesirable attributes. It assumes a high degree of rationality.
Yet at the same time, we know that humans do a decent job of faking being rational over a fairly limited choice environment. We are hopped up East African Plains apes whose brains are overclocked. We, as a social animal, have built up tremendously complex social structures to help us make mostly rational choices more often than not, but we are not particularly good at it. We have flaws that are known, predictable and exploitable. We are prone to inertia in choice. We are prone ....

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