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Does the US still deserve its AAA credit ratings as debts grow? — Quartz


March 11, 2021
The US is becoming more of an outlier among countries with a gold-plated AAA credit rating. As its $28 trillion debt burden grows, will the rating companies continue to treat America as an exception?
The US was downgraded one step by Standard & Poor’s in 2011 to AA+, but the country still has top rankings from the other big ratings firms, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings. The US is far out of kilter with other AAA nations like Germany, Australia, and Norway, according to Fitch data on federal debt to gross domestic product. The Senate’s latest bill will increase spending by $1.1 trillion in 2021 and nearly $500 billion in 2022, increasing debt-to-GDP to 109% this year. ....

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India's recovery gathers pace on good agri show, falling Covid cases: S&P


Global rating agency Standard & Poor s (S&P) said India is on track for an economic recovery in the fiscal year ending March 2022 with consistently good performance in agriculture, a flattening of the Covid-19 infection curve, and a pick-up in government spending are all supporting the economy.
However, the economy still faces major risks as it transitions from stabilisation to recovery. India faces a permanent loss of output versus its pre-pandemic path, suggesting a long-term production deficit equivalent to about 10 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
India needs many things to be right for its recovery to continue. Most significantly, the country needs to quickly and thoroughly vaccinate most of its 1.4 billion people, S&P, in a report titled, Cross-Sector Outlook: India s Escape From Covid, said. ....

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Not So Junky: Speculative Bond Yields Near 4% | Chief Investment Officer


Not So Junky: Speculative Bond Yields Near 4%
After dire predictions of disaster for high-yield paper, defaults never hit the painful levels forecast last spring.
How popular are junk bonds these days? Very. High-yield is delivering much lower yields lately as investors snap the offerings up amid a large issuance of new junk. And that spells price appreciation.
The average yield on junk is approaching 4.0%, and is at the lowest point in the past quarter century, according to the ICE BofA High Yield Index.
In fact, BCA Research likes junk bonds better than supposedly less-risky investment grade corporate bonds. “We prefer high-yield over investment grade within the US corporate space, particularly the Ba credit tier,” the well-respected research firm wrote in a client note last week. The reference was to the highest speculative grade rating level from Moody’s Investors Service. ....

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Profits, credit quality of companies in India recovering about six months faster: S & P


Profits and credit quality of companies rated by S & P Global Ratings in India, China and Pacific are recovering about six months faster than the agency anticipated with reducing downside risk to ratings.
Indonesian companies, on the other hand, are unlikely to recover until the second half of 2022, said the report titled Asia Pacific Corporate and Infrastructure Credit Outlook 2021 which covers entities in India, China, Japan, Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand.
The report discusses the pace at which corporate sector in these countries is likely to recover from Covid-19 pandemic. It also includes a list of credit trends on the radar of S & P Global Ratings analysts in 2021, including demand recovery, funding conditions and financial discipline. ....

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