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Calculated Risk

A top ranked economics and finance blog with a focus on the housing market ....

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Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
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Calculated Risk

7/13/2021 01:49:00 PM
Note: I m tracking data for many local markets around the U.S. I think it is especially important to watch inventory this year.
Total Residential Units Sold in June 2021 were 10,386, up 12.9% from 9,203 in June 2020.
Active Residential Listings in June 2021 were 10,227, down 40.8% from 17,285 in June 2020.
Months of Supply was 1.2 Months in June 2021, compared to 2.4 Months in June 2020.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph from the Minnesota Realtors® shows inventory in Minnesota since 2012. Inventory had been trending down, and then was somewhat flat for a few years, and then declined significantly during the pandemic.
Active inventory was up 14.2% from the previous month, and up 24.6% seasonally from the all time low in February 2021. Usually, at this time of the year, we d expect active inventory of around 23,000 in Minnesota, so current inventory is still extremely low. ....

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Calculated Risk

Tracking existing home inventory will be very important this year.
Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.
This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research.
As of July 2nd, inventory was at 373 thousand (7 day average), compared to 654 thousand the same week a year ago. That is a decline of 43.0%.
A week ago, inventory was at 373 thousand, and was down 44.0% YoY.
Seasonally,
inventory has bottomed. Inventory was about 21.6% above the record low in early April.
Mike Simonsen discusses this data regularly on Youtube. Altos Research has also seen a significant pickup in price decreases, although still well below a normal rate for June. ....

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Calculated Risk

Calculated Risk
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