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Govt is turning a Nelson's eye to sinking economy- The New Indian Express


Govt is turning a Nelson’s eye to sinking economy
Despite the smaller numbers, the unemployment rate still shot up to 8% compared to 6.5% in the previous month.
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EXPRESS ILLUSTRATION
The data on jobs for April is in, and it is not a pretty picture. The pandemic’s rampage was at its peak last month, and the continuing lockdowns have taken a heavy toll. Employment numbers have been worse than expected. The Labour Participation Rate (LPR) the number of people who are available for employment as compared to those who have given up and left the labour market dropped sharply in April to 39.98%, the lowest level since May 2020. The Centre for Monitoring India Economy (CMIE) said the LPR fell for a third straight month as state after state, attempting to combat the transmission of the virus, imposed full-scale or partial lockdowns.  ....

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Calculated Risk: Demographic Impacts: Renting vs. Owning, Labor Force Participation, GDP


Here is a review of three key demographic points:
1) Demographics have been favorable for apartments, and will become more favorable for homeownership.
2) Demographics are the key reason the Labor Participation Rate has declined.
3) Demographics are a key reason real GDP growth is closer to 2% than 4%.

Renting vs. Owning
It was over five years ago that we starteddiscussingthe turnaround for apartments. Then, in January 2011, I attended the NMHC Apartment Strategies Conference in Palm Springs, and the atmosphere was very positive.
The drivers were 1) very low new supply, and 2) strong demand (favorable demographics, and people moving from owning to renting).
Demographics are still favorable, but my sense is the move from owning to renting has slowed. And more supply has been coming online. ....

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