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John Dorfman: What Edson Gould would say about stocks, if he were alive

People who are fretting about the Federal Reserve’s latest comments probably never heard of Edson Gould.
Gould, a famed stock analyst from the 1940s into the 1970s, tried to devise an answer to investors’ perennial question: When should you take defensive measures if the Fed is tightening credit conditions?
He called his guideline “Three steps and a stumble.” It states that the time to get cautious is when the Fed has raised interest rates three times.
Today, the Fed hasn’t raised interest rates at all. It has merely said that it may do so as soon as 2023, rather than 2024, as it projected earlier. So under Gould’s guideline, we have not yet seen even one “step.” ....

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There's Value in Staying the Course

There's Value in Staying the Course
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