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British Pound Technical Analysis: GBP/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP Rates Outlook


British Pound Technical Analysis: GBP/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP Rates Outlook
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British Pound Outlook:
The British Pound has been hampered by the latest surge in COVID-19 delta variant infections, which have traders on edge that more lockdowns are possible.
Both GBP/JPY and GBP/USD have rebounded from critical technical support, suggesting that further losses may be contained.
Recent changes in retail trader positioning suggest a mostly mixed bias for the British Pound.
Dead Cat Bounce or Second Life?
‘Freedom Day’ has come and gone for this week, but markets don’t appear to be convinced that this marked the ‘beginning of the end’ of the pandemic for the UK. With delta variant caseloads surging in recent weeks, the British Pound has been hampered relative to its major counterparts as traders are on edge that re-opening measures could be reversed. ....

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British Pound Technical Analysis: GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD Rates Outlook


British Pound Technical Analysis: GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD Rates Outlook
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GBP/AUD rates, on the other hand, have recently been rejected from a multi-decade trendline.
Longer-term Influences Take Shape in GBP-crosses
With May in the rearview mirror, it’s a good time to take stock of the British Pound’s performance against some of the more volatile major currencies, which were plagued by – you guessed it – volatile if not weaker commodity prices over the course of the month. While currencies linked to energy may be the exception to the rule, those with strong economic connections to agriculture and base metals faced tougher sledding (particularly the latter). ....

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British Pound Forecast: Sterling Crosses Prove Tired - Setups for EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, GBP/USD


British Pound Forecast: Sterling Crosses Prove Tired - Setups for EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, GBP/USD
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British Pound Outlook:
The British Pound is finishing one of the worst times of the year per seasonality studies, and given that context, the month of May has been quite good.
GBP/JPY and GBP/USD rates are hovering below key resistance levels, while EUR/GBP rates may continue to drift higher.
Recent changes in retail trader positioning suggest a mostly mixed bias for the British Pound.
Sterling Grinding Sideways
The British Pound has seemingly been stuck in the mud for the past few weeks, masking what has otherwise been a strong month of May. In fact, considering that Sterling is finishing one of the worst times of the year per seasonality studies, the British Pound’s gain are that much more impressive. Even if the major GBP-crosses have appeared to have tired in the last half of May, they remain generally well-positioned to capitalize on bullish ....

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD Rates


British Pound Forecast: GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/NZD Rates
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British Pound Outlook:
The British Pound’s performance against the commodity currencies has been middling. While GBP/JPY is up by over +8% year-to-date, GBP/AUD is up by just over +1.7%, GBP/NZD is up less than +0.2%, and GBP/CAD has dropped by over -1.75%.
GBP/AUD remains rangebound, while GBP/CAD and GBP/NZD continue to coil ever more into their triangular consolidations.
According to the IG Client Sentiment Index, the British Pound has a mixed trading bias.
Commodity Currency GBP-crosses Turning Higher?
By most measures, the British Pound is among the best performing currencies in the developed currency space. And while this is true particularly against the lower yielding currencies, it’s not-so against growth-sensitive or high beta currencies. While GBP/JPY is up by over +8% year-to-date, GBP/AUD is up by just over +1.7%, GBP/NZD is up less than +0.2%, and GBP/CAD has dropped ....

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