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The Overnight Report: Going Nowhere


Micro Mix
There remains an underlying macro undertone of case numbers falling and vaccines being swiftly rolled out in the world’s hotspots, and now being rolled out in Australia. But with Wall Street in a holding pattern, another rally for the local market yesterday was all about micro stories.
Energy was the best performing sector (+2.1%) as the big freeze in Texas shuts down supply.
Industrials came in with 1.9% on a 4.7% rebound for Transurban ((TCL)), due to Melbourne’s lockdown ending tonight. That rebound nonetheless flew in the face of rising bond yields. The Australian ten-year is now at 1.33%, largely following US yields. ....

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The Overnight Report: Rollout Rally


By Greg Peel
It would appear the local market went down to the dock yesterday to throw streamers and cheer the arrival of the first shipment of Pfizer vaccine. For despite some solid profit results, little else explained the whiplash.
On Friday investors ran scared of the Victorian lockdown, dumping everything that would be impacted, mostly transport related. Yesterday it was a case of lockdown-schmockdown. Everything went back up again.
And some.
It is reminiscent of a couple of weeks ago when the market went into a mad panic on a sudden jump in bond yields. The following day, it mattered not. The market fully recovered. We can perhaps deduce that (a) momentum algos are exacerbating volatility and (b), there are plenty of buyers on the dips. ....

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Next Week At A Glance - 15-19 Feb 2021


Feb 12 2021
For a more comprehensive preview of next week s events, please refer to The Monday Report , published each Monday morning. For all economic data release dates, ex-div dates and times and other relevant information, please refer to the FNArena Calendar
.
By Greg Peel
Earnings results, and lots of them. These will dominate proceedings in the local market next week, and the week after, assuming no substantial macro developments.
The
FNArena Corporate Results Monitor is currently showing 65% beats to date, which is quite simply unheard of (in the history of the Monitor), but it’s still early days by number of reporting companies. That changes next week. ....

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The Overnight Report: Reasons To Be Cheerful


Bonds. Australian Bonds.
After having rallied 5% from its Monday low to its Wednesday high, the Australian market was due some profit-taking yesterday. The futures had suggested down -18 points for the ASX200 at the open.
But when the market opened as predicted, it just kept on going. A valiant effort to rebound early in the afternoon failed.
While profit-taking may have led out the session, it was the Australian bond market that suddenly grabbed attention. The ten-year yield ultimately jumped 7 basis points to 1.22%. It’s a far cry from the pandemic low of 0.61%. This despite the RBA announcing only this week it will extend its QE program for another six months, with no fear of inflation. ....

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