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"Eurodollar Whale" Bet On J-Hole Policy-Pivot Explodes Ahead Of Jobs Print


unusually large position being built in Eurodollar Mid-Curve options anticipating a Fed hawkish shift in outlook built around the Jackson Hole event held in late August.
Bloomberg s Edward Bolingbroke was the first to highlight the massive ED trade by an unknown entity, who appears to be
betting that the Fed s dovish stance will end with a bang not in June, as many analysts predict, but in August with Powell making the inevitable taper announcement at Jackson Hole, which will lead to a bloodbath across the curve and especially the short-end.
Why Jackson Hole?
Because last year, Powell unveiled a new policy framework for inflation, while in 2012 Ben Bernanke signaled more bond purchases were on the table. ....

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07May2021 Pre-Market Commentary: Copper Price Hits All-Time-High In Commodities Bull Run, DOW Down 23 Points, Nasdaq Explodes Upward +1.4%, US Dollar 90.91, Bitcoin 57300


Nasdaq explodes higher, gold gains, dollar and bond yields crash after dismal jobs data (SPY +0.4%). April payrolls huge miss: just 266k jobs added on expectations of 1 million.
Here is the current market situation from CNN Money
European markets are mixed. The DAX is higher by 0.06%, while the CAC 40 is leading the FTSE 100 lower. They are down 0.43% and 0.07% respectively.
What Is Moving the Markets
Here are the headlines moving the markets.
Why Exxon And Chevron Are Not Going All-Out In The Permian
The U.S. oil supermajors are leading by example what shale drilling discipline should look like. Neither ExxonMobil nor Chevron are rushing to boost production in the biggest American shale play, the Permian, despite the oil price rally this year that has sent WTI prices to above $60 per barrel. The two biggest U.S. oil corporations are now prioritizing debt reduction and increased cash flows to pay down the excess debt they had accumulated last year when ....

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"Eurodollar Whale" Bet On J-Hole Policy-Pivot Builds Ahead Of Payrolls


unusually large position being built in Eurodollar Mid-Curve options anticipating a Fed hawkish shift in outlook built around the Jackson Hole event held in late August.
Bloomberg s Edward Bolingbroke was the first to highlight the massive ED trade by an unknown entity, who appears to be
betting that the Fed s dovish stance will end with a bang not in June, as many analysts predict, but in August with Powell making the inevitable taper announcement at Jackson Hole, which will lead to a bloodbath across the curve and especially the short-end.
Why Jackson Hole?
Because last year, Powell unveiled a new policy framework for inflation, while in 2012 Ben Bernanke signaled more bond purchases were on the table. ....

Nomura Charlie Mcelligott , Bloomberg Edward Bolingbroke , Ben Bernanke , Eurodollar Mid Curve , Jackson Hole , Edward Bolingbroke , Charlie Mcelligott , நொமுர சார்லி ம்செல்லிகொட்ட் , ப்ளூம்பெர்க் எட்வர்ட் போலிங்ப்ரோகே , ஜாக்சன் துளை , எட்வர்ட் போலிங்ப்ரோகே , சார்லி ம்செல்லிகொட்ட் ,

SLR Chaos Sparks Wild Moves In Swap Spreads


by Tyler Durden
Friday, Mar 05, 2021 - 02:50 PM
There is a reason why we highlighted the earlier report from Politico that FDIC Chair Jelena McWilliams said
it doesn’t seem as though banking agencies need to extend the SLR extension.
This matters because as we first explained two days ago in The SLR Is All That Matters For Markets Right Now , and as Bloomberg s Edward Bolingbroke writes this afternoon, the market is unhappy with the potential risk that bank balance sheets will become significantly more constrained after April 1 (when the SLR ratio will return all else equal and holding excess TSYs will be punished by regulators) and as a result long-end dollar swap spreads have collapsed ....

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