virginia, too close to call. minnesota, too close to call. new hampshire, too close to call. to the electoral race, the race to 270, 137-104, advantage trump. steve kornacki is at the board with some new numbers in virginia and florida they tell me? yeah, let s take a look at virginia. as you were speaking there, brian, we actually got an update on the statewide vote. clinton has been playing from behind. the question has largely been about northern virginia, how much turnout, how much support she can get. it s now down to 25,000. hillary clinton s gap in virginia as i say this sentence is 25,000 votes. that just tightened significantly in the last few seconds so i m finding this out with you. we just got more vote in in fairfax county. this is the mother lode in
think it will be it, i think there will be more, comey will have to talk, but i think this blows over and the election is still advantage clinton. no loss in points? maybe she loses a bit because of voter suppression, maybe there are some of those republicans that were going to vote for her and decided to stay home instead and that goes advantage trump. but it s bad but i don t know that it s game changing. so the news suppresses as well as republicans. i didn t know we were suppressing the vote. gene? i think it gives trump a closing argument. he didn t have one and so now he has one. he s got something to focus on. i assume this will be the closing argument because he wasn t doing too well with the flailing he was doing the last couple weeks so it may give his campaign focus and it on the margins i think it s it probably helps him perhaps with republicans, perhaps more
donald trump mentioned iowa. he is leading in the most recent poll in iowa. a state president obama won twice. at the moment, advantage trump. what about ohio? that one s a dead heat. republicans need to win it to win the white house. at the moment, donald trump is in play in ohio. very close getting to the end. also, this is great news for trump. other polls shown clinton ahead, but a brand new poll out of florida today showing donald trump, that s a statistical tie, but maybe momentum for trump and a little lead in florida heading into the final days of the campaign. certainly good news for trump. this is not as good news, though. mentioned pennsylvania. says he thinks he can do well there, at the moment, secretary clinton with a healthy lead in the latest polling in pennsylvania. and battleground north carolina. trump has two rallies there today. well, he needs to make up ground. again, latest polling showing hillary clinton with a lead in north carolina. so when you switch the map
matchup trump kills jeb bush 56% to 37%. but ben carson beats trump by the same margin, 55% to trump 36%. what are we to make of that, guy? it s the summer of the outsiders. people cannot stand what s happening in washington. they are uneasy about what s happening in the country. much of the blame, i think, rightly, is placed on the political class. which is why you have people like trump surging. his message is resonating. ben carson is in the same boat. you noticed a shout out from donald trump to carly fiorina who has now made it into the debate. another outsider. especially the head-to-head with jeb. the bush campaign has been pushing back. there has been a war of words between trump and bush. i think trump now is getting the better of the fight. i have a lot of issues with jeb bush and concerns about his viability. he has so much money. one of them is not fluency in spanish. speaking to voters who speak spanish in their language is not
carson is the only head-to-head matchup against trump that is flip-flopped. he beats trump bay 20-point margin. does trump now in your mind go after carson? well, he did a little bit in an interview with the daley caller yesterday. he was you know donald trump is about to hit somebody when he says something, i like this person, or this person is he praises before he strikes. so he says, i like ben carson, a wonderful person, but doctors don t create jobs. doctors don t know about creating jobs, and he said i would put him in a terrible position paraphrasing put carson in a terrible position to be president, which is a suggestion he is unready and that donald trump is ready because the is a businessman. here you have outsiders, nonpoliticians, fighting over who is outsidery than the other. all right. chris, thank you for the full analysis today. see you soon. you bet. time now for my take.