how will the democrats explain if harry reid loses to this woman? midterm elections are usually a bit of a yawn, but maybe not this one, and in fact, get your tickets early, because this year, my hunch is that this is going to quickly turn into standing room only. it is going to be good stuff. here is the question. what message would it send if senate majority leader harry reid loses to a member of the tea party? it would be like huge. go to cnn.com/cafferty file, and post a comment on my blog. >> it is a really, really close contest in nevada, if you read the polls, jack. >> well, they are tied, but she is ahead by seven points among the independents, and that means if the election was held today, she would win. >> and she is doing better among the likely voters as opposed to registered voters and the republicans have more likely voters, because think are much more enthusiastic. >> well, that is true and that is normal for those who are out of power to be sort of schompch