determine this. andrew carries a 3 to 1 in new york city, 28% of the vote that gives him a buffer in the suburban ring and upstate. but it's going to be closer than people think. >> when you ran, you won. is carl paladino, you can vision him being governor? >> no. >> was this the right pick for the republicans? >> no here's the other secret here. the republicans had a candidate who would have won. a fellow steve leavy who was in suffolk county. the leadership of that party said, no, they went with rick lazio. he was almost a vanilla candidate, had nothing to say. had steve leavy been put on the ballot, he would have been ahead of cuomo. carl pallino is a businessman from upstate, he won't win. >> what do you want to bet palladino wins in new york? >> one cnn mug.