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her rival for the leadership thinks that policy won't work. i think at a time like this we have got to support the most vulnerable in our society, particularly people like pensioners who need our help. those are my choices. i would love a tax cut, and who doesn't? but my priorities are the right ones for the country right now. this winter will be very different to the last. the fear of rising costs is already leading many to worry about the dark nights ahead. they are looking for a guide as to how they will make it through. caroline davies, bbc news. we'rejoined by leah downey, junior research fellow at cambridge university. first of all, the current inflation figures are high enough and the forecast of 80% for next year is alarming. forecast of 80% for next year is alarmina. ~ . , ~ ., ., forecast of 80% for next year is alarmina. ~ . , ~ ., alarming. what is the likelihood of that actually _ alarming. what is the likelihood of that actually panning _ alarming. what is the likelihood of that actually panning out, - alarming. what is the likelihood of that actually panning out, how - that actually panning out, how realistic are those predictions? it is a very dangerous business to

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