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forecast tracker back in the 1990s. so we slashed it by about a third. and in fact at this particular point the average forecast tracker at 96 hours this decade, 129 hours. that is actually slightly better than it was for 24 hours back in the 1970s. so we have seen tremendous accuracy jump in terms of predicting the track of hurricanes and that is part of the reason why we were able to give out these warnings for idalia so early on. >> harry, it is me out here in clearwater. i am listening to your every word even before i have had coffee. thank you for always bringing the great numbers to you. i do want to ask you, have we humans or scientists gotten better at forecasting a storm's intensity as well? >> yeah, we talked about how much better we've gotten at the track, but how about the intensity? this is the average intensity forecast surge in 24 hours.