draw taiwan into its fold. she has a very different strategy. do you think it's as much of a shift as jinping actually planning a military invasion of taiwan? >> i think so. if you asked me four years ago what was the likelihood china would have attacked taiwan, i would have put it at 0%. now i put it at 60%. and that's largely because dong xiaoping had to kick the can down the road because they didn't have a lot of options. and then under xi jinping they really accelerated the modernization. most americans don't understand if you look back 25 years ago, they built ships and paddled their way over. the united states was not concerned. the pilots couldn't sail over water at night, the ship had no defenses and had to hug the coast to rely on land-based defenses. so what changed in the past ten