again, the big point here is to try to get a win that is large enough to set the momentum and offset anything that she has going into new hampshire. the other complication here, they worry that those big poll numbers will keep people from turning out who might just say, oh, donald trump, he already has enough support anyway. so they are trying to stress no matter what you are seeing, get out there and caucus on monday. >> i want to bring in thomas gift the director of the center on u.s. politics at university college london. he joins us from harrisburg, pennsylvania. thanks for being here with us again. so as we heard there donald trump according to this gold standard poll on track for the largest margin of victory in a contested republican iowa caucus in modern history. what does that say about the state of the race? >> thanks so much for having me, kim. great to be with you, as always. i think trump has the nomination locked up, that's what it says about the race, irrespective even of how iowa turns out, but part of me thinks it's important