plane? the skies are about to explode. significant tornado danger one day before santa takes to the skies. wild weather for travelers from coast to coast. hello everyone. welcome to "the lead." i'm jake tapper. our politics day every day for the past few months i've been asked on camera and off camera if i think donald trump will really win the republican presidential nomination. every day i've had the same answer, i've seen no evidence to the contrary. and today more evidence to the affirmative. trump ending 2015 in prime position to win the republican nomination with voting starting in iowa in just 40 days. our last cnn/orc poll of the year shows the republican front-runner lapping his rivals. sunlen fresh back from trip. just to underline this, trump's