Word. It happens here or here or here or anywhere that happens, america is watching on cspan, powered by cable. Jessica taylor is at our table again. Thank you so much for being here. It is a 5050 proposition, but, will set Mitch Mcconnell said at a luncheon. We have a 5050 senate right now and i think the outcome is likely to be close. Let me show our viewers what to publish the morning before the woman he said that. Rating changes in pennsylvania, colorado and utah. This guest this is a tighter race for the senate. Back in april before the primary started in earnest, i will put the control the likelihood of the senate flipping to the republicans at least at 60 but republicans nominated in key battleground states problematic candidates and once that did not rehash their image. We knew the environment was back in democrats and it was bad since a year ago. With the Delta Variant and rising inflation but we do see that democrats Democratic Forces have changed. Gas prices are going down and they have democrats and president have legislative successes and critically, the Dobbs Decision that came down that sent the question of abortion back to states and is restricted in key cases. It has energized democratic voters. We have seen this in elections. While republican enthusiasm was the higher measure, it may be a more neutral environment and in a neutral environment, candidates matter more. Host lets talk about the senator race in georgia. Raphael warnock versus herschel walker. Guest Rafael Warnock was elected in 2020 in the special election. He was able to maintain his Political Base and has been a massive fundraiser and from picks the candidate early, any behind former university of georgia football star getting behind former university of georgia football star herschel walker. He has a history of Domestic Violence allegations and he was talking about Mental Health challenges he faced but there have been questions into his businesses. He has not made a lot of gaps in the Campaign Training trail. Someone like walker is more wellknown through georgia and being a football fan myself, i do not discount the power of just being a football star in georgia. We see here in fact, prime cap brian cap had a lead over stacy abrams. This is not a race that is solidly in either camp and another instance where by biting President Bidens approval rates have gone up and they are still not great. I see numbers of him in the states that he won, like in georgia that he won narrowly, at 3 10 of a point. I see some states at a Approval Rating at mid 30s. His democratic incumbents they have been outperforming him by double digits. We have seen in the past correlations. Host what about the democratic apparatus in georgia. Stacey abrams and they get out the vote effort the get out the vote effort . There was a powerful effort but brian kemp was the one person who managed to vanquish the trump endorsement against him. He was not a favorite of tom. Trump. Brian kemp has been proven to get out and vote in rule areas but there has been the atlanta constitution has done great stories. There might be a warnockcap voter which seems to be a unicorn brian kemp voter which seems to be a unicorn. It is not one picking take for granted even in a state with a Midterm Election like this, should slightly favorite republicans. Host if you are watching in georgia, call in. We want to know how you plan to vote and wife. Viewers in any of these key states, and for that senate, if you have georgia, pennsylvania, ohio, wisconsin and for drug governor races, georgia, michigan and pennsylvania. Coley call in and tell us how you plan to go. Vote. Lets talk about the senate race. Guest we shifted pennsylvania from a toss to leaning democrat. This is the most likely senate seat in the country to flip parties. It is an open seat with the republican and comment not for reelection. You cannot discount that he is not he is well respected by both sides. You have this primary and it was very brutal. You have dr. Mehmet oz who moved to the state to run in the base and his issues of carpet backing are hurting him. He went to the middle School School from the university of pennsylvania and but he spent most of his time outside of pennsylvania in those years in taking his Television Show in new york taping his Television Show in new york. He edged out david mccormick. What men met cost dr. Mehmet oz suffered from this that he had negative ads against them and this hurt his image. If you have watched his opera, if you watched oprah, you know who he is. His Approval Ratings were in the 30s. This is not the recipe to win a state there has been a lot of frustration among up republicans i have talked to. I have heard that he did not use the summer months after he won the primary to rehab his issues image. He went to ireland and went to other properties. Even though the democratic nominee, John Fetterman, was off the campaign trail because he suffered a more serious stroke that was allegedly dan was initially let on. He had a social Media Campaign that hit oz. We have consistent polling with John Fetterman winning outside of the margins. The National RepublicanSenatorial Committee cuts a lot of at money there but Senate Leadership funds, which is a super pac has come there with well over 12 million. The ads coming up will hit him. You have to be relatable as a candidate. This is the problem oz had even though before the video that was stoned of the mailing. Melee. How much of the distance of you those two bottles eat those ethos oz struggling to do that and even though john federman, he does not look like a typical politician. Host what about the role of former President Trump and boozing dr. Oz . Guest there is a question of trump endorsing candidates and letting them right. He has plenty of money and talking to a lot of people, that is why they think republican funding has gone down. He can just you cannot just take the wind what really matters is if they win the general election or not and that is key. Host more races to get into but we will take a call from bill in richmond, virginia. Caller thank you for taking my call and i have a comment on the georgia race. I was listening for a few minutes. I noticed that the world thinks about it in the country as a whole, and the country as a whole, we have candidates accused of Domestic Violence. An opponent that has a number of kids and baby mamas and this is someone that you are ok to be an elected official and this is all over the country. I want people to realize this is what is being put forth and this is what you are electing. Host are you talking about the nonpolitician and the appeal of not being a politician . Caller no, because not being a politician is not a excuse for character or your behavior or what have you. You cannot say, just because i am not a politician that it is ok to be elected with all the accusations. Host your thoughts on this, Jessica Taylor. Guest these are things that have hurt walkers campaign. He had one son and it turned out he had several other children and walker is running as the outsider but warnock was the outsider as well. He was serving in the Ebenezer Bassett baptist church. Republicans have a voting record that can attack him on so there is a fine line we walked between politicians. How long do you have to be here. We are seeing we did an analysis that you can find on our site, looking at we are seeing more people that have not held any Political Office coming to congress and that has grown since 2010. Host amy in west point. Democratic caller. Caller i am from georgia. I voted for brian kemp in the primary. As far as brian kemp, it is a level of trustworthiness that i cannot she does not have. The fact that he is hostile toward minorities and women is scary because i remember nathan deal and how he focused on the economy in georgia became the number one state to do business in and we have gone far to the social conservatism rabbit hole but it makes me want to move out of state. Host you are calling on the line for democrats. Are you a democrat . Caller i am. I went to i want to have a middleoftheroad approach because the worst case, you get someone who is two two far right as opposed to brian kemp who is more in the middle, now that he is not supporting President Trump openly it is still hostile towards minorities. Host Jessica Taylor. Guest shes right in states with the open primaries like georgia, you can vote in any primary and we have seen that in other places where you want the more pandemic pragmatic candidate. That is not surprising. She brought up the issue of abortion and i talked about how that has changed the environment and trajectory for democrats. I am watching how it does impact georgia because this is something Stacey Abrams needs to give him provost against brian kemp. Dobbs decision will matter more in governor races because they are deciding it in georgia and michigan. Those two have triggered laws on the books. A governor in michigan is blocking that. He said he would give them premises see give them clemency. How the abortion issue, we saw going back to the voting in kansas, which was an up or down vote and that will be the case in many places where there will be a question of abortion. It is not a simple as simple as yesterday because you have to decide on the candidate. It showed us that it is not just a Democratic Coalition but in a place like kansas, it was democratic voters and independence independents. It is not a democratic issue and we saw during the trump years, republicans struggled with collegeeducated women. They needed to get them back during the election and the abortion issue may make things are. Harder. Host does this abortion issue help the democratic candidate there . Guest pennsylvania and wisconsin are the only two states on the senate map this cycle better that were held by republicans but won five President Biden in 2020 by President Biden in 2020. He was came back and won. He has this opponent. Johnson is someone who is controversial. His Approval Ratings are in the 30s. However, early polling shows barnes split the what to leave but he has taken controversial decisions. He had a tshirt wearing that the said apologize that said abolish ice. With the senator there, with johnson, he had a lot of controversial positions. He said things about covid and he had us lights of alternate electors that is chief of staff of trying to get to mike pence on january 6. I think the Economic Issues they will try to hit him on. This will be a close race. Wisconsin may be the most closely decided state in the country. Host lets hear from pat in pennsylvania. Who do you plan to vote for in the senate race . Guest caller what beach, from georgia he was absolutely right because dr. Oz is not a politician. He has an elite and he is a illegal salesman. Anyone who has seen him, he is a Snake Oil Salesman and i dont want him anywhere Near Government control. His commercials are a frontal are offensive. Who has ever done anything for American People but the democrats. Republican people have approached me during on the train and during election time. I said could you tell me one thing republicans have done for the working class in the country, i will vote for you. They sputter. Host why do you consider yourself an independent . Guest i have caller i have misgivings about the democrats. They dont hit hard enough or tout their achievements or what i think they should do is emphasize what the republicans wont go along with. There are bills sitting and not voting voted on because they dont bring it up. The republican hands are tied. When obama was elected, they where he is going to focus, which to me as on the people and what the people need in the country. Host but is good taylor. Nobody talks in depth about the Senate Primaries or the senate race and they are think this caller certifies independence. He had a at a out this morning where he is talking about his medical career. He says of the senators people, i heal them. Not really playing that on tv. Featherman actually has a group of doctors that has condemned for that. In the governors race, you have done mastery on a, who has raised no money come also endorsed by tromp, i think he was on pace to win the election. The seat is open. It is a democratic held. Have the attorney general there, who did not have a primary. Was here on january 6. He has done one of the leading conspiracy here is from trying to overturn the pennsylvania results on abortion. He supports note assumptions for rate or as sections of for rape or an says. I think democrats have a edge in this race. We saw the change in 2018, a backlash in the state went for biden again, home state where he was born. Host lets go down to north carolina. Carolyn in columbus. Independent. I was going to mention about the herschel walker, before that i want to mention about dr. Oz situation. Caller i think dr. Oz is a better person. Featherman has lived off his familys wealth. Getting back to herschel walker, both those men have been accused of Domestic Violence. The exwife, that is out the window. That should not even be a part of the campaign issue. Both men have been accused of Domestic Violence. Host Jessica Taylor . Guest this issue did come up when he and his wife were divorcing at the time. She alleged he ran over his foot. There have been accusations. Walker talked about the allegations. He does talk about it in the frame up Mental Health, which i think is a way that democrats at tech and him were trying to make it a issue attack him and were trying to make it a issue, need to walk a tight rope. The issue is on both sides, which what is in the voters will have to make the decision. This is an attack we have been seeing increasingly used. We have seen how vitamins feathermans family has given him a substantial amount of money. He did not really make a lot of money as a democratic mayor. He took his money to supplement so he could do jobs that did not pay him much in different things. This is going to be a republican attack as republicans are frustrated. Congress is making it harder for them to make these arguments because they are trying to do this and then Something Else happens. Image matters. There is frustration on the republican side. Voters First Impressions of candidates matter. Host speaking of the working class in ohio, that senate race, you have the congressman tim ryan running there, workingclass area, what does this race look like . Guest the best nominee that democrats could have gotten. Ryan is really in that bluecollar workingclass area of the state. He is running a phenomenon campaign. J. D. Vance, who ended up winning the nomination, really th anked it to tromp. Another person who was taking this for granted. Republican should not even be thinking about ohio. That shows how much trouble they are in overall and how much of the dynamics have shifted because all of this almost after labor day when the campaigns really began and they are still worded about ohio. Ryan is running a Good Campaign while vance has been mia not raising money. I think there is a authenticity problem there. He transformed into a tromp acolyte. There is questions about that. The republicans really just need vance to run a Better Campaign at this point. Caller thank you so much. Always honored to have you take my call. Thanks for jessica today for showing up. If you a fee observations she may take in consideration. Today we have the issues, Anyone Running for office. If you believe that the election of 2020 was stolen, that is an important answer. The other answer, because of the Supreme Court and their decision on abortion, it upset every woman in the United States one way or the other. If you do not ask your political people who are running for office where they stand on abortion 100 and get a definitive answer, you are not going to find out who is went to win this election. I can tell you, they have to answer those two questions. Who won the election in 2020, and where do you stand on a abortion. Guest these are the questions that we ask candidates. Abortion is one we talked about before. I will just say with other candidates, particularly for governor, republicans decision default decision for a long time was prolife, antiabortion, however there was exceptions for rate and insists rape and inceset. You have republicans that are trying to argue that the democrats when it after so many weeks. The majority of americans are somewhere in the middle. When you have these images and stories about the 10yearold girl being raked by an uncle and trying to carry that twoterm, that changes for a lot of people. The issue about the election, we ask candidates, but it is very still surreal that i have two. That is just where you see the premise of how tromp has permeated all of this. There have been people who were supposedly dead who were not. Tromp lost fair and square. We saw that failed in the georgia primary. Other primaries were candidates only have to get the 30 , you have about that base