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Former GOP representative Joe Scarborough and Mika Brezinski interview newsmakers, politicians and pundits about the issues of the day. Thats 1,754 votes ahead in a sdlact h district that has been in gop hands for three decades. The official outcome way not be known until other ballots are tallied and the race could be headed to a recount if the k candidates end up within 1 of each other once the votes are certified. This morning, balderson is claiming victory. Oconnor has not conceded. Regardless, well see a rematch when they compete for full term in congress. Welcome to morning joe. It is we...

Horizontal axis. drew a line called aggression analysis across them to basically find what is statistically most accurate. what you find, about a 70% correlation between a president's approval rating and the number of house seats won or lost in a midterm. at say 50%, that would lead you to expect something like a 30-seat loss in the midterms. however, we have a president, we know is at 41%. if you start at 41% and draw a line across, you would find it comes out around here in the, about 60 very vote loss category. note the two red dots above here represent our two most recent you'd call wave e...

Surface. >> well, i mean, this is -- as tom said it kind of looked easy lately. you just grid it out and look for it. i'm sure they're taking a lot of the data using the aggression analysis, there is a lot of math going on behind the scenes. but once they do narrow down the search pattern to something that is sizeable, i heard the number was what? 23,000 square miles with the bluefin 21? that would take 600 days. so it has got to get smaller than that. but they will launch -- once they get it down to a bite size segment they can actually study in several months. they will launch the bluefin aa...